The Betfred Mile is the most valuable handicap run at the fantastic Glorious Goodwood meeting as Bet365 report shortening odds and free bets as all the money comes in for Fulbright in this hotly contested punting heats of the entire meeting.
It is the feature race of the Thursday of the meeting and always draws significant interest from a betting perspective. Saying that, finding the winner of this competitive handicap is a hard task with a variety of trainers targeting this race with a specific horse, which can produce a winner that no-one had predicted.
Last season’s winner Boom and Bust was a perfect example of that as he prevailed at an gigantic price of 20/1.
Marcus Tregonig’s charge is back to defend his crown this season and could become the first dual winner of the prestigious Goodwood race since it was brought into the Festival in 1987.
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He has been very lightly raced since his win, racing just once at Royal Ascot, and is 5lbs higher in the handicap. It will take a monumental effort for a horse to follow up in this race and the current 16/1 odds make no appeal.
The current favourite at the ante-post stage hails from the all-conquering Mark Johnston yard in the form of Fulbright, who has been extremely well backed with many firms and stands to cost the bookies a lot of money.
The three-year-old is currently available to back at 7/1 but with the amount of money likely to be poured on the favourite, that price is guaranteed to shorten closer to the race.
A national gamble could be brewing here. If you’re a believer in following the money then get on as quick as possible in this instance. The horse himself looks a worthy favourite as he is very unexposed at this level and has a reputation to progress higher than the handicap scene.
This race is known is regarded as one of the most bias in terms of the draw with those berthed on the inside at a big advantage. The first three home last year in the 25+ plus runner handicap were drawn 1,6, and 3 respectively.
Keeping low drawn horses on side looks to be a wise play, as does horses who have the ability to race up with pace, therefore avoiding trouble in behind as Goodwood is a very tight track. It can be very hard to make up ground in big field handicaps.
With that in mind it could be wise to keep onside a couple of the in-form Mark Johnston runners. The stable have won this race twice in the last three years and seem to be coming into form at just the right time at a Festival they seem to always do well at.
The standout of their chances in this particular race look to come at the hooves of the pacey Bannock, who is likely to make his challenge from the front. The 25/1 shot is high enough in the weights but looks to have race conditions ideally in his favour and a big run is expected