There is a good chance that if you backed the winner of the 2009 Grand National you are unlikely to forget about in a hurry.
Mon Mome’s victory in the race was achieved with him being a monster 100-1 shot and largely unfancied by the betting markets – apart from the lucky few pin seekers that may have latched onto him for a number of reasons which probably were based around his race card number or the colours of his silks.
That what makes the National such an engrossing race to be a part of; every punter has their own methods of figuring out the winner. Whether it would be form based or for pure novelty reasons, the National is a conundrum that many feel they can crack.
As mentioned for the punters that latched onto Mon Mome four years ago will never forget the feeling of seeing their £1/£2/£5 stakes being turned into enough to maybe pay their rent for the month. It was also a hugely profitable result for the bookies. Shares in William Hill and Ladbrokes rose as they avoided paying huge liabilities on more fancied runners. Reports suggest that the industry made over £100m thanks to them winner, who went off the largest price National winner since Foinavon in 1967.
Thanks to Mon Mome’s surprise victory, hope has been restored that a triple figured price runner can go on and win the National and make a person hundreds of pounds from a small stake invested.
However, history is not on their side despite Mon Mome’s National success – only five 100-1 shots have won since it was first run in 1863.
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The richest jumps race of the year has the knack of creating incredible story-lines, therefore siding with an outsider or two that may have more of a chance than their odds suggest could be a punting ploy to keep onside. Here are three runners likely to go off around the 100-1 mark that could have a chance of defying their gigantic price tag.
Swing Bill – There are fewer men you would rather have in your corner than trainer David Pipe in a handicap of this nature. The Pond House stable custodian trained the winner of the 2008 Grand National winner in the form of Comply Or Die and is one of the most feared trainers on the circuit. On the basis of his training talents, the fact that this horse, who is trained by Pipe, is a 100-1 shot makes a case in itself to be backed. However, Swing Bill despite being talented is currently without an owner and has been available to buy for a few weeks now with no interest. He could become the first horse without an official owner to win a Grand National.
Hello Bud – Records will go tumbling if Hello Bud can roar to Grand National success at the grand old age of 14-years-old. No horse older than 13 has won the race since Peter Simple in 1853, and only two (Why Not 1894 and Sergeant Murphy 1923) have managed to win at the age of 13. However this is a horse that has plenty on his side.
Nigel Twiston-Davies’s charge may be entering an age where he could pick up his pension but he still is very much in love with racing and especially jumping fences. Expect him to be up with the pace early on.
Tatenen – Owner Andy Stewart’s best chance of Aintree success this year looks to be with Big Buck’s on the Thursday in the Liverpool Hurdle, however, Tatenen could be a lively outsider for the hard-hitting owner in the National. The eight-year-old has never raced over further than three miles and has patches of form that suggest he could take to the National fences well.